London: Deteriorated Situations: Ethiopia, South Africa, Zambia, Afghanistan, Bosnia and Herzegovina Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, Ukraine, Cuba, Haiti, Syria, Tunisia
Conflict Risk Alerts: Ethiopia, Zambia, Armenia, Azerbaijan
Ethiopia’s spreading Tigray war is spiraling into a dangerous new phase, which will likely lead to more deadly violence and far greater instability countrywide. Fighting along the state border between Armenia and Azerbaijan, the deadliest since the Autumn 2020 war, could escalate further. More violence could surge in Zambia as tensions between ruling party and opposition supporters are running high ahead of the August general elections.
Resolution Opportunities: None
Source: International Crisis Group, https://is.gd/JVNDCr