Continuing Conflicts That Create Refugees – July 2020

Deteriorated Situations: Nile Waters, Mali, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Côte d’Ivoire, Korean Peninsula, Taiwan,  StraitIndia (non-Kashmir)Kashmir, Sri Lanka, Belarusm Venezuelam Mexicom Lebanonm Saudi Arabiam, Yemen

Outlook for July 2020 –  Conflict Risk Alerts: Israel/Palestine, Libya –  Resolution Opportunities: None

Global Overview July 2020: The latest edition of Crisis Group’s monthly conflict tracker highlights deteriorations in June in sixteen countries and conflict situations – the majority in Africa and Asia. In India, counter-insurgency operations inside Jammu and Kashmir sharply intensified, while the most lethal border clashes in over five decades with China killed at least twenty Indian soldiers.  In Ethiopia, frictions heightened between the federal government and Tigray region over the electoral calendar, and the killing of a popular ethnic Oromo musician sparked deadly unrest in the capital Addis Ababa and the Oromia region. Meanwhile, criminal groups’ persistent violence led to Mexico’s deadliest day in 2020 on 8 June, setting the country on course for its bloodiest year on record.

Looking ahead to July, CrisisWatch warns of two conflict risks. In Israel/Palestine, a potential parliamentary vote to extend Israeli sovereignty over portions of the West Bank could significantly raise tensions. In Libya, fighting could escalate after the front line shifted eastward around the strategic city of Sirte and Egypt threatened military intervention.

Source: Crisis Watch, https://www.crisisgroup.org/crisiswatch